October 17, 2018

QMA Q4 2018 Outlook: Storm clouds are gathering

Trade tensions and the ongoing crisis in emerging markets top the downside risks. Trade uncertainty has now seeped into the GDP and business confidence data for Europe and Japan, while the combination of trade tensions, fears of Turkish lira contagion, and Fed rate hikes have contributed to slowdowns in a number of EMs, including China. On balance: The near-term risk of a global downturn remains very low. But storm clouds are gathering.

October 12, 2018

PGIM Fixed Income Q4 2018 Outlook - Standing Still: A Symptom of Less Synchronization and Giant Collisions

When investors recall the third quarter of 2018, many may cite the fractures that occurred in certain corners of the fixed income market. In its fourth-quarter outlook, PGIM Fixed Income evaluates the extent of the damage, the factors that contributed to the periodic volatility, how these issues may unfold going forward, and the nature of the opportunities that lie ahead.

August 31, 2018

QMA’s Q3 2018 outlook 'bearly bullish'

Earlier this year, global economic growth appeared to be coasting, with all major economies growing in unison for the first time since 2010. However, paths now appear to be diverging, shifted by escalating trade tensions, Italian politics and pockets of emerging market turmoil, according to QMA’s Q3 2018 Outlook & Review.

August 17, 2018

Free-falling Turkish lira—what’s next?

A dramatic sell-off has made the Turkish lira cheaper on an inflation-adjusted basis than it has been since the 1990s, but there are good reasons to avoid exposure to Turkish markets until an orthodox policy response from the government is forthcoming, according to PGIM Fixed Income’s macroeconomic team.

July 27, 2018

PGIM Fixed Income Q3 2018 Market Outlook: Of Flowers and Flesh Wounds

After a half year of ongoing global uncertainty, investors continue to find varied—and perhaps mixed—metaphors to explain the evolving fixed income landscape, according to this edition of PGIM Fixed Income’s Quarterly Outlook.

June 14, 2018

Looking ahead after the U.S.-North Korea summit

The historic summit between the U.S. and North Korean leaders in Singapore ended with impressive imagery; however, the joint statement by President Trump and Chairman Kim Jong Un seemed short on details. In “Looking Ahead After the U.S.-North Korea Summit,” Gerwin Bell, Ph.D., lead economist for Asia on PGIM Fixed Income’s Global Macroeconomic Research Team, and Mehill Marku, portfolio manager for PGIM Fixed Income’s Foreign Exchange Team, examine two competing schools of thought concerning how the delicate relationship between the two countries may evolve.

April 16, 2018

PGIM Fixed Income Q2 outlook: At cruising altitude with seat belts at the ready

The second quarter 2018 edition of PGIM Fixed Income’s quarterly outlook leads off with “Air Pockets at Cruising Speed—Welcome to QT” by Robert Tipp, CFA, chief investment strategist and head of Global Bonds. In examining some prevalent market concerns, including quantitative tightening, Tipp provides some perspective on how investors might consider these issues after Q1’s volatility.

March 29, 2018

Don’t fear inflation’s impending arrival, PGIM leaders say

The inflation that the Federal Reserve has been expecting will arrive soon, but it’s not likely to gallop away with the economy, says PGIM’s leadership.

March 16, 2018

QMA Market Pulse: All eyes on productivity

The recent market correction and sharp jump in volatility has brought a renewed focus on inflation and interest rates. But what about productivity?

January 22, 2018

QMA’s 2018 outlook sees continued global growth

After a year that saw the S&P 500 Index return more than 20%, QMA predicts stocks will again outpace bonds in 2018 — potentially by a very wide margin. While QMA's base case, outlined in its 2018 Outlook & Review "Goldilocks Growth and the Missing Bears," calls for S&P returns in the 10% range, the firm envisions scenarios that could have 2018 nearly matching 2017's surprise breakout year for equities.